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Nintendo’s Switch Successor: Evolution, Not Revolution, Expected for 2024

Speculation and Strategy: Decoding Nintendo's Next Move

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Read Time: 3 minutes to read
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What You Need to Know

Nintendo’s forthcoming Switch successor is generating buzz, as industry experts and insiders offer their takes on what gamers can expect. According to Dr. Serkan Toto (via GamesIndustry.biz) of Kantan Games, the new hardware will likely be an evolutionary step rather than a revolutionary change. Toto expects the device to be priced at $400, and aim to maintain Nintendo’s portable gaming legacy.

Toto’s insights align with the predictions of many other industry since last year regarding the Switch 2. And they are consistent with Nintendo’s pattern of iterative hardware upgrades, enhancing existing features without fundamentally altering the console’s essence. While the company remains tight-lipped, the buzz surrounding the new system suggests a 2024 release.

As for pricing, Toto expects Nintendo to increase software prices to $70 — a trend observed in the pricing strategies of competing platforms like the PS5 and Xbox Series X. This shift reflects the industry’s evolving economics, as development costs rise and publishers seek to maintain profitability.

Toto expects Nintendo’s commitment to handheld gaming, however, to remain steadfast, especially given the association with franchises like Pokémon. With Pokémon’s strong association with handheld gaming, it’s unlikely that Nintendo will deviate from this core element in any next iteration of its Switch hardware.

Toto’s insights align with the predictions of many other industry since last year regarding the Switch 2. And they are consistent with Nintendo’s pattern of iterative hardware upgrades, enhancing existing features without fundamentally altering the console’s essence.

But it’s crucial to note that these forecasts are opinions, not leaks or rumors. Analysts like Toto operate within ethical boundaries, often bound by NDAs that restrict the disclosure of confidential manufacturer information.

Thus, while these predictions align with prevailing beliefs, they remain speculative until officially confirmed by Nintendo.

Nintendo, as of now, remains tight-lipped about its plans, projecting an aura of confidence as we head into 2024. And Shuntaro Furukawa, Nintendo’s president, has previously highlighted the Switch’s unique ability to generate new demand, hinting at the company’s ongoing innovation strategy.

But while the Switch has achieved remarkable success, surpassing 132 million lifetime sales, it faces challenges. Sales have declined by 22% in the last fiscal year, and projections suggest a further 16.5% drop. As Nintendo aims to reverse this trend, the forthcoming console launch emerges as a pivotal moment.

The question that looms large is whether this iterative approach will resonate with consumers, or will the market demand a more radical departure from the established formula? We will just have to wait and see.

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Josh Lurie
Josh is the founder of VSG, and covers the gaming industry and the latest tech. He developed a deep love for video games playing Super Mario Bros. and Duck Hunt with his dad. On top of developing VSG, Josh is an antitrust attorney in the DC Metro area. He will unashamedly quote Dumb and Dumber in any conversation, and his favorite game is Sea of Thieves.

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